How the world is going to end, or at least how human civilization will end, is something that religious folks and wannabe intellectuals talk about all the time. But what is going to end it all? And when will it happen? Rarely is the subject approached with cool logic, educated foresight, and statistical probabilities. We’re going to give it a shot. (more…)
Spurred on by discussion in my fantasy baseball league (where many of my baseball musings are born) about whether or not the Braves got a good deal on Josh Donaldson with a $23 million 1-year contract, I thought to myself, there must be a quick-and-dirty quantitative way to spit out a number for how much a player is worth based on his recent performance and age. (more…)
With the MLB All-Star Game here in DC this year, I went to the All-Star FanFest, which MLB proudly calls “the largest interactive baseball theme park in the world”. Yesterday was long but fun day with friends and lots of little moments that made it memorable. (more…)
2014: Matt Williams named NL Manager of the Year
October 2015: Nationals fire Matt Williams
2016-2017: Dusty Baker becomes most successful manager in Nationals/Expos franchise history
October 2017: Nationals fire Dusty Baker (more…)
Adrián Beltré’s recent 3000th career hit kicked off a conversation in my baseball circles about where he ranks in history among the game’s best third basemen. I took a statistical approach, looking at each player’s career WAR and using a positional adjustment for games they have actually played at their position. (more…)